Comments on: NFL Picks: Week 2 (updated)

By: NFL Picks: Week 3 | Popdose

NFL Picks: Week 3 | Popdose — Thu, 24 Sep 2009 11:31:23 +0000

[...] Sad, and Frightened Rabbit play a corker of a show at the Knitting Factory.Â It was a good day.Â Last week I mentioned that I’d be impressed if Gamblor could beat his Week 1 weighted win percentage of [...]

By: mattk1

mattk1 — Mon, 21 Sep 2009 04:35:08 +0000

Gamblor is doing quite well both favourites it picked won, Buffalo and the Saints. And most of the dogs not only covered but won. My 4 dog picks were the bears, raiders and texans also the giants tonight, so I got lucky with them. But I can't believe that Jets controlled Brady like that proving why vegas keeps pulling in the money.

By: mattk1

mattk1 — Mon, 21 Sep 2009 00:35:08 +0000

By: mattk1

mattk1 — Sun, 20 Sep 2009 23:35:08 +0000

By: moon007

moon007 — Sun, 20 Sep 2009 18:33:15 +0000

Damn the computer picks are looking good right now for 98% of the early games picks. Wooow..

By: mattk1

mattk1 — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 18:55:29 +0000

That link seems to have some good info and will check around.
What I usually do is the spread for the favourite and money line for the dog. The theory being if they beat the spread they would usually win. There obviously can't be a huge advantage or lots of people would be doing it.
Most people have systems when they bet I just have found it hard to get info. Another thing I always wondered if the favourite covers is the game more likely to be over, and other stuff like that to see if there is a correlation and if parles would be advantage. I don't expect you to have that info just stuff like that interests me and finding good info for me has been hard.

By: Zack

Zack — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 15:49:37 +0000

Maybe they figure that psychologically the Saints won't take the Eagles seriously enough. I'll be writing about it more next week, but last season the Eagles had a HUGE advantage for being at home (+7.0 points) so it's possible that's getting factored in as well.

By: Zack

Zack — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 15:47:23 +0000

I haven't looked into it - given the average bettor's predisposition to bet on the favorite, there's probably an underdog edge built in already. Statfox.com (a great resource otherwise) doesn't seem to have historical money line details.

By: poker rakeback

poker rakeback — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 13:38:06 +0000

I think the Saints should be a solid favorite without McNabb in the lineup, so Im surprised that the bet amount is 0 on that game.

By: MattK

MattK — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 01:17:52 +0000

What is your opinion of betting money line on the dog. I just started betting recently and it seems to work alright.