Rebirth of Gamblor: Week 12 NFL Picks

Written by Football, Sports

Last week was an awful one for the computer, as it threw its winnings from Week 10 back into the mix and lost most of them.  The models hit weighted win percentages of 18.3% and 21.2%.  I shouldn’t have messed with superstition and done the write-ups – this week I’m going to stick with what apparently works, and just post the computer’s picks only.

I can’t resist another Game of Thrones comparison, though.  This week it’s the Denver Broncos as House Arryn.  Both reside in a mile-high, impregnable fortress, and both have recently received new leaders, men whose craftiness and savvy enabled them to remain in positions of power where less clever men would have fallen aside.

Good luck, and have a happy Thanksgiving!

 

Away Home Spread Gamblor’s Pick Bet Amount Son of Gamblor’s Pick Bet Amount Overall Pick Overall Bet
HOU at DET 3 DET $8.84 DET $8.84
WAS at DAL -3 DAL $57.46 DAL $89.80 DAL $147.27
NEP at NYJ 7 NYJ $131.80 NYJ $153.34 NYJ $285.14
OAK at CIN -8 OAK $9.48 OAK $9.48
PIT at CLE 1 PIT $21.46 PIT $35.05 PIT $56.51
BUF at IND -3 BUF $7.80 BUF $7.80
DEN at KAN 10.5 KAN $10.77 KAN $4.01 KAN $14.78
TEN at JAC 3 JAC $2.01 JAC
MIN at CHI -5 MIN $19.69 MIN $17.20 MIN $36.89
ATL at TAM 1 TAM $7.23 TAM $2.11 TAM $9.34
SEA at MIA 3 MIA $8.20 MIA $33.80 MIA $42.00
BAL at SND 1 SND $6.59 SND $6.59
SNF at NOS 0 SNF $6.19 SNF $6.19
STL at ARI -2.5 STL $83.26 STL $48.91 STL $132.17
GNB at NYG -2.5 GNB $11.49 GNB $11.49
CAR at PHI -2 PHI $59.15 PHI $92.27 PHI $151.42

flashfiller

Week GAMBLOR SON OF GAMBLOR Profit
W L P Weighted Wins Weighted Picks Weighted Win % W L P Weighted Wins Weighted Picks Weighted Win %
1 7 9 717 1023 70.2% 6 5 2415 3023 79.9% $255.02
2 7 6 330 496 72.5% 4 4 269 428 62.7% $58.39
3 9 5 1 3065 4160 73.7% 3 6 1 4140 7459 55.5% $623.53
4 9 4 1 260 359 72.5% 4 5 1 1031 1646 62.6% $98.79
5 6 6 117 1920 6.1% 1 4 24 3816 0.6% -$1070.94
6 9 3 934 1028 90.9% 6 1 1286 1314 97.9% $420.23
7 3 9 1 120 324 37.2% 4 1 373 962 38.8% -$70.48
8 6 6 117 1653 7.1% 3 7 92 3503 2.6% -$951.93
9 5 8 399 1004 39.8% 2 4 778 1722 45.2% -$99.02
10 10 3 2046 2092 97.8% 9 1 3038 3039 100.0% $1057.28
11 5 8 357 1949 18.3% 2 8 964 4576 21.1% -$824.19
Total 76 67 3 8462 16007 52.9% 44 46 2 14409 31487 45.8% -$503.32