Last week was an awful one for the computer, as it threw its winnings from Week 10 back into the mix and lost most of them. The models hit weighted win percentages of 18.3% and 21.2%. I shouldn’t have messed with superstition and done the write-ups – this week I’m going to stick with what apparently works, and just post the computer’s picks only.
I can’t resist another Game of Thrones comparison, though. This week it’s the Denver Broncos as House Arryn. Both reside in a mile-high, impregnable fortress, and both have recently received new leaders, men whose craftiness and savvy enabled them to remain in positions of power where less clever men would have fallen aside.
Good luck, and have a happy Thanksgiving!
| Away | Home | Spread | Gamblor’s Pick | Bet Amount | Son of Gamblor’s Pick | Bet Amount | Overall Pick | Overall Bet | |
| HOU | at | DET | 3 | DET | $8.84 | — | — | DET | $8.84 |
| WAS | at | DAL | -3 | DAL | $57.46 | DAL | $89.80 | DAL | $147.27 |
| NEP | at | NYJ | 7 | NYJ | $131.80 | NYJ | $153.34 | NYJ | $285.14 |
| OAK | at | CIN | -8 | OAK | $9.48 | — | — | OAK | $9.48 |
| PIT | at | CLE | 1 | PIT | $21.46 | PIT | $35.05 | PIT | $56.51 |
| BUF | at | IND | -3 | BUF | $7.80 | — | — | BUF | $7.80 |
| DEN | at | KAN | 10.5 | KAN | $10.77 | KAN | $4.01 | KAN | $14.78 |
| TEN | at | JAC | 3 | JAC | $2.01 | — | — | JAC | — |
| MIN | at | CHI | -5 | MIN | $19.69 | MIN | $17.20 | MIN | $36.89 |
| ATL | at | TAM | 1 | TAM | $7.23 | TAM | $2.11 | TAM | $9.34 |
| SEA | at | MIA | 3 | MIA | $8.20 | MIA | $33.80 | MIA | $42.00 |
| BAL | at | SND | 1 | SND | $6.59 | — | — | SND | $6.59 |
| SNF | at | NOS | 0 | SNF | $6.19 | — | — | SNF | $6.19 |
| STL | at | ARI | -2.5 | STL | $83.26 | STL | $48.91 | STL | $132.17 |
| GNB | at | NYG | -2.5 | GNB | $11.49 | — | — | GNB | $11.49 |
| CAR | at | PHI | -2 | PHI | $59.15 | PHI | $92.27 | PHI | $151.42 |
| Week | GAMBLOR | SON OF GAMBLOR | Profit | ||||||||||
| W | L | P | Weighted Wins | Weighted Picks | Weighted Win % | W | L | P | Weighted Wins | Weighted Picks | Weighted Win % | ||
| 1 | 7 | 9 | – | 717 | 1023 | 70.2% | 6 | 5 | – | 2415 | 3023 | 79.9% | $255.02 |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | – | 330 | 496 | 72.5% | 4 | 4 | – | 269 | 428 | 62.7% | $58.39 |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3065 | 4160 | 73.7% | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4140 | 7459 | 55.5% | $623.53 |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 359 | 72.5% | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1031 | 1646 | 62.6% | $98.79 |
| 5 | 6 | 6 | – | 117 | 1920 | 6.1% | 1 | 4 | – | 24 | 3816 | 0.6% | -$1070.94 |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | – | 934 | 1028 | 90.9% | 6 | 1 | – | 1286 | 1314 | 97.9% | $420.23 |
| 7 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 120 | 324 | 37.2% | 4 | 1 | 373 | 962 | 38.8% | -$70.48 | |
| 8 | 6 | 6 | 117 | 1653 | 7.1% | 3 | 7 | 92 | 3503 | 2.6% | -$951.93 | ||
| 9 | 5 | 8 | 399 | 1004 | 39.8% | 2 | 4 | 778 | 1722 | 45.2% | -$99.02 | ||
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 2046 | 2092 | 97.8% | 9 | 1 | 3038 | 3039 | 100.0% | $1057.28 | ||
| 11 | 5 | 8 | 357 | 1949 | 18.3% | 2 | 8 | 964 | 4576 | 21.1% | -$824.19 | ||
| Total | 76 | 67 | 3 | 8462 | 16007 | 52.9% | 44 | 46 | 2 | 14409 | 31487 | 45.8% | -$503.32 |
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