Posts Tagged ‘Unemployment’

Numberscruncher: What Goes Around

For the month of May, the unemployment rate clocked in at 9.4%, the highest level since the early 1980s. It felt like old times.

I grew up in Youngstown, Ohio, a town on the Pennsylvania border that used to be the home of some of the world’s largest steel makers. My mother’s father was an organizer for the United Steelworkers and eventually was promoted into a sales job: hence, management. My father had wanted to go to college, but his family could not afford it. A white guy with an Irish name, he did the next-best thing and joined the plumbing apprenticeship program, and then became involved in union politics. He lost an election and took a job representing commercial construction companies in political and labor negotiations. Although he took an enormous pay cut when I was in high school, he not only had a job, but it was a one where he wore a coat and tie and had the use of a late-model Oldsmobile.

When I was a senior in high school, the unemployment rate in Youngstown was over 20%. Not everyone in my class had a father who dropped them off on his way to work in his spiffy company car. In Youngstown in 1982, my family was elite. Well, okay, I wasn’t the child of a doctor or a Mafioso (in which case, I would have had my own Camaro to drive to school), but I was better off than so many of my classmates. I showed up at Northwestern thinking that I was a rich kid and was stunned to find out that rich kids do not have student loans and work-study jobs. (more…)

Pop Politico: “Obama’s Neo Pragmatism”

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“Wow, these grapes are sour!”  A fitting epitaph for Republicans as they try to grab the spotlight to bitch and moan about Obama, the Democrats, and spending while really only offering one policy prescription for the economic dire straits we’re in:  tax cuts.  And tax cuts they got! Even a casual glance at both bills reveals that when it comes to spending, both houses of congress aren’t too far apart. The Senate bill is the one where you wonder what happened to the party that advocates for states.  The sizable tax cuts, the lack of local spending for states’ local governments, and the glaring gap between the House’s bill on infrastructure spending makes me question some Republican’s love for the states and localities that comprise these United States.  Yeah, we’ve heard the old saw about this stimulus bill being the proverbial “Democratic Christmas Tree” when it comes to spending, but c’mon! The idea is to get people back to work so they have money to spend on products and services that come from private businesses — and that won’t come from tax cuts alone.

It doesn’t take much effort to realize that every day private industry is shedding jobs, that unemployment rolls are growing, and consumption is falling.  In short, people are not spending money, and private industries are doing the same.  Credit is tight, people are saving their dollars, businesses are cutting and slashing budgets to weather this storm.  It’s batten down the hatches time, folks. It’s a natural response when times are tough.  But what force turns fear into optimism?  What entity has the kind of power and resources to “prime the pump,” shock the system out of the current doldrums and restore large scale trust?  Government.  In fairness, tax cuts do have a stimulative effect at times, but they take a long time to work. What’s needed are spending programs (yes, spending) that will increase GDP.

Government spending on programs and projects will lead the way to create stable jobs that will allow individuals to feel optimistic about buying products and services that private businesses provide.  However, unbridled consumption is something that comes with consequences to our environment and even to our psyche. I have long been critical of society’s fixation on “things,” and I am in no way saying that we need to go back to a yuppie ideology. Rather, since we’ve already tried variations of the kind of Reagan-inspired economic policies hardcore Republicans have embraced for over a generation — and those polices have clearly shown their limits and their failures — it’s time to see if the democratic pragmatism Obama embodies works. (more…)

Pop Politico: “Greetings from Economy Class”

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The Bureau of Labor Statistics for July states that 5.7% of Americans are unemployed. Percentages are sometimes difficult to visualize, so how about this number: 8.8 million people are officially out of work.

The number of the unemployed is actually higher, because the BLS only counts people who file for unemployment insurance.   However, in the official numbers, you can view the stats by certain categories to see who’s losing a lot of ground.  In July, whites were unemployed at around the national average (5.1%).  If you’re African American or Latino, the unemployment rates are much higher (9.7% and 7.4%, respectively).

One of the most shocking numbers is for teenagers.  Yep, teens get a category, and the rate is just a little over 20%.  For a bit of a comparison, the unemployment rate peaked at 25% in 1933 for all workers.  Of course, that’s an average, and there were parts of the country were whole populations were unemployed because of something called the Great Depression.  These days we’re not anywhere near depression levels in terms of unemployment and the economy tanking, but we are in an era where a number of factors have aligned to produce a real downward drag on sectors of the economy.  The price of oil, the credit mess, war, real estate woes, decreased consumer spending, and prices for goods and services increasing mean that we’re going to languish in the economic doldrums for the next year or so. Businesses are spending less, too. If staff cuts can balance out the bottom line, then cut away — or face extinction.

Government solutions to crises like this run the gamut of tax cuts to direct cash payments to individuals to stimulate the economy back into a period of growth.  The economic stimulus checks that went out did help goose the economy a bit as consumer spending slightly rose.  But really, people aren’t complete fools, and most paid down their debt or saved the money if they could afford to. It seems in the “rational actor” world of economics, people know we’re in a shitstorm, and they’re battening down the hatches. (more…)